Google’s Ray Kurzweil predicts how the world will change

Re:Google’s Ray Kurzweil predicts how the world will change by simonh on Monday January 13, 2014 @11:06AM (#7051316)

1960s Herbert Simmons predicts "Machines will be capable, within 20 years, of doing any work a man can do."

1993 - Vernor Vinge predicts super-intelligent AIs 'within 30 years'.

2011 ray Kurzweil predicts the singularity (enabled by super-intelligent AIs) will occur by 2045, 34 years after the prediction was made.

So the distance into the future before we achieve strong AI and hence the singularity is, according to it's most optimistic proponents, receding by more than 1 year per year. So I predict that when we get to 2045 strong AI will be on the slate to be achieved by about 2090.

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Re:Google’s Ray Kurzweil predicts how the world will change by pessimizer on Monday January 13, 2014 @11:47AM (#7051669)

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=7051088

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Re:Google’s Ray Kurzweil predicts how the world will change by Houshalter on Monday January 13, 2014 @01:20PM (#7052305)

I might be wrong but I believe Kurzweil's prediction of AI by 2045 goes back much further than 2011.

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