Let's be realistic. The NYTimes will still get plenty of links. The first comment on all of them (heavily upvoted) will be "email: [email protected] password: bugmenot". The second comment will be "Why do people keep posting links to the NYT? Paywalls sucksorz, yo."

And half of the people upvoting these two comments will think that their startup will succeed on ad revenue where the NYT failed.

I don't think so. IIRC, bugmenot does not allow paid subscription details to be posted to it..

But I still agree that NYTimes will still receive a fair bit of links but also believe it will decrease to some extent.

You can bet paid accounts will be tied to credit cards, and no one will be sharing. More likely, people would just cut and paste the article.

The main problem is, nobody will find the article in the first place, because no one will subscribe to read it.