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Re:A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail by varjag on Wednesday November 27, 2013 @04:05PM (#6811133)
> Government backing can provide one source of confidence. But so can strong crypto, and one could argue that these days people have more confidence in crypto than in governments.

Not quite. The confidence in "normal" fiat currency arises not so much from government backing, but from the fact that a well-managed national currency envelopes the GDP of a national economy. Government really needs fiscal discipline to not break the system (the consequences are well known); the trust part comes from the health of national economy and intersection of interests of all involved players.

Consider a major issuer like USA or Eurozone. The strength of their currencies stems from strength of the backing economies. In theory, the government could try fooling the system and run the printing press amok. In practice, such a government would be very short-lived, as it would piss off just about every person with money.

Save for outliers like Zimbabwe, there aren't really many cases of modern governments running themselves in the ground like that. Usually, runaway inflation is a consequence of a catastrophic event in the economy (bubbles, wars, loss of markets and other externalities).

Now, a super-fiat currency like Bitcoin is not backed by anything like that. It is a virtual construct with finite supply, and crypto is just a production vehicle here. It envelopes no economy, so the all trust here comes from compound interest of people who invest into it.

Re:A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail by DrJokepu on Wednesday November 27, 2013 @07:03PM (#6812168)
In addition, there are various measures a government or a central bank can take to stop or at least slow down escalating inflation. If there was a sudden loss of confidence in BitCoin (or more realistically, people lost confidence in other people’s confidence in BitCoin), such hyperinflation would spread and escalate with the speed of light with nothing to stop it. This kind of volatility might be interesting for speculative investment purposes but not incredibly useful as currency.

Then again, it’s entirely possible that we will be proven wrong.

Re:A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail by alttab on Thursday November 28, 2013 @12:01AM (#6813098)
The bitcoin price won't stabilize until it's operation literally dictates demand.

Once for all practical purposes everyday life is handled in satoshis, how does an economy expand?

Re:A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail by eru on Thursday November 28, 2013 @06:08AM (#6814050)
Just like gold standard economies expanded in the 19th century?
Re:A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail by alttab on Friday November 29, 2013 @12:47PM (#6820292)
How was that? Not being snarky, I'm just wondering what you mean.
Re:A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail by eru on Monday December 02, 2013 @03:15AM (#6832461)
I'm not sure how to answer that question. An answer would either be horribly generic or extremely long (or both). I suggest you start reading some history books (or just start on Wikipedia).

Basically, a full bitcoin economy is a bit like an economy on a gold standard. Not perfectly, since gold is still being mined, and the rate of mining depends on its price.

Re:A Prediction: Bitcoin Is Doomed to Fail by alttab on Friday December 06, 2013 @01:20AM (#6859713)
Ok im following you. Maybe the differentiator is the divisibility of coin vs gold, and transferability.