Tesla: Third Model S fire in past two months

Re:Tesla: Third Model S fire in past two months by 001sky on Thursday November 07, 2013 @01:55PM (#6691541)

about 80% involve cars in parking lots, at rest, in repair shops, etc. So, you need to adjust the data. of the 152k, only a subset [~26k] were on public highways. Once you do this, a tsla now has 3x (300%) the chance of a normal car in catching fire in a highway accident, when corrected for miles driven, etc.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6499111

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Tesla: Third Model S fire in past two months by rattray on Thursday November 07, 2013 @02:05PM (#6691636)

Care to share your calculations? They're quite the reverse of my back-of-the-envelope, which rounds to an egregious degree, and doesn't take into account the subset on public highways or not:

150,000 fires / 250mm total cars in america: ~ .0006

3 fires / 20,000 Teslas (their expectation for this year: ~.00015 (4x fewer fires)

I'm not sure whether we should care that gas cars catch fire in parking lots rather than highways... it seems like a huge concern regardless.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Tesla: Third Model S fire in past two months by 001sky on Thursday November 07, 2013 @02:12PM (#6691681)

You need to adjust your data down to 26k hwy fires and correct for milage driven. For a comparison even to how tesla cites the data, see: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6499111

I'm not sure whether we should care that gas cars catch fire in parking lots rather than highways...

These vehicles are typically not occupied. So from a driver and passenger safety perspective...you really should care.

[ Parent | on HN ]

Re:Tesla: Third Model S fire in past two months by rattray on Thursday November 07, 2013 @02:53PM (#6691959)

Gotcha. Thanks!

[ Parent | on HN ]