Re:TWTR
by silverbax88 on Thursday November 07, 2013 @01:31PM
(#6691297)
Your point is valid, but past performance is not indicative of future performance. Just because Twitter went from $0 to $168M (which is chump change on the NYSE), that does not mean they will continue on that curve or that there's proof that they haven't already tapped their market.
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Under Bayesian inference, past performance is the ONLY indicator of future performance...
Re:TWTR
by silverbax88 on Thursday November 07, 2013 @02:31PM
(#6691828)
Bayesian inference would only be relevant with the management team, not the growth of a market. In order for Bayesian probability to be used, it would require other exact or remarkably similar scenarios by which to build on.