Re:TWTR
by silverbax88 on Thursday November 07, 2013 @01:31PM
(#6691297)
Your point is valid, but past performance is not indicative of future performance. Just because Twitter went from $0 to $168M (which is chump change on the NYSE), that does not mean they will continue on that curve or that there's proof that they haven't already tapped their market.
Under Bayesian inference, past performance is the ONLY indicator of future performance...
Re:TWTR
by silverbax88 on Thursday November 07, 2013 @02:31PM
(#6691828)
Bayesian inference would only be relevant with the management team, not the growth of a market. In order for Bayesian probability to be used, it would require other exact or remarkably similar scenarios by which to build on.
If you're making an argument that their revenue growth has plateaued, that's a separate argument. But their current growth curve is impressive.