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Re:Nate Silver: Does race affect votes? by occam on Sunday April 26, 2009 @02:15PM (#580225)
Wrong. The most rural and white states in the country voted more for Obama than Kerry. Look at Montana, the Dakotas, Vermont, etc.

The people of Appalachia voted for McCain for the same reason blacks voted so heavily for Obama. He is one of their own in a way that Kerry was not. McCain is beligerent two fisted Scots Irish. http://isteve.blogspot.com/2008/11/mccain-scots-irish-champi...

Re:Nate Silver: Does race affect votes? by rsheridan6 on Sunday April 26, 2009 @02:50PM (#580262)
He was also using 1996 as his reference year. Clinton was also one of Appalachia/Ozarkia's own in a way that neither Obama nor Kerry were.
Re:Nate Silver: Does race affect votes? by occam on Sunday April 26, 2009 @03:18PM (#580309)
Yes, why did he choose 1996? 2004 is the more obvious choice.
Re:Nate Silver: Does race affect votes? by rsheridan6 on Sunday April 26, 2009 @03:45PM (#580344)
Because it fit his hypothesis better?