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Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by sjtgraham on Saturday April 20, 2013 @08:32PM (#5583359)
I doubted that these ASIC rigs would ship any time soon. Wouldn't it be more profitable for the vendors to simply to delay/cancel orders and run the rigs 24/7 themselves?
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by gesman on Saturday April 20, 2013 @08:40PM (#5583378)
Totally agree.

Why would anyone wants to sell the goose who lays golden eggs while gold cost more than the goose?

They'll pile up cash from "preorders", mine bitcoins and when time is right - will dump outdated devices to customers.

Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by sachingulaya on Saturday April 20, 2013 @09:22PM (#5583485)
The profitability of ASICs is going to decrease at a rapid rate once they start shipping to consumers. Additionally, in a few months the market is going to be flooded with cheap ASICs.

From BFL's perspective if they don't release first they're dead in the water. They don't know where their competitors are compared to them but they recognize it's a winner take all situation. The natural thing to do would be to take pre-orders to fund the manufacturing and start realizing profits now. Also, if your competitors are offering pre-orders you should be too.

Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by ihsw on Saturday April 20, 2013 @10:41PM (#5583654)
This waxing and waning of mining devices is certainly going to become the norm.

* Buy up $10K worth of devices

* Make your money while flooding the market with fast and easy BTC

* Sell off all your hardware after the profit margins have cratered

* Wait for new hardware and rinse and repeat

Personally I will be extremely glad when the first wave hits as the hoarders will start feeling the pinch of inflation.

Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by sachingulaya on Saturday April 20, 2013 @11:17PM (#5583730)
The evolution was CPU -> GPU -> FPGA -> ASIC. Now that we're at the ASIC stage growth is going to slow considerably. There's no longer order of magnitude gains to be made.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by vl on Monday April 22, 2013 @03:31AM (#5588271)
>at the ASIC stage growth is going to slow considerably

Yes, buy these are 110nm v1 designes, it looks like they will be able to squeeze something like 10x per watt by moving to better process and iterating on design. And probably additional 10x in cost by ordering more than current quantities that are in the ballpark of the smallest possible order.

Right now entire network runs at speed equal to all hardware in first two Avalon batches (300 and 600 units). When batch 2 and 3 and BFLs hit in the future, everything else is going to be wiped out. But then it will be wiped out again by the next iteration.

Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by nazgulnarsil on Saturday April 20, 2013 @10:54PM (#5583681)
bitcoin does not work that way. Inflation decreases at a set rate.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by jquery on Saturday April 20, 2013 @11:14PM (#5583721)
Difficulty adjusts week-to-week. Being the only guy with an ASIC is like a license to print money. Being the 10,000th person with an ASIC will be like trying to mine with a netbook today.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by ihsw on Saturday April 20, 2013 @11:52PM (#5583780)
Supply will always be constant however how it's divided changes -- people who previously enjoyed lack of competition are now having their feet held close to the fire.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by laurenia on Saturday April 20, 2013 @09:26PM (#5583491)
Did they collect the money in advance? If not, it seems to me that the shipping time is almost irrelevant.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by unreal37 on Saturday April 20, 2013 @09:45PM (#5583529)
Yes, you pay at time of order, and wait a few months for the unit.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by thereallurch on Saturday April 20, 2013 @10:51PM (#5583667)
few months - year...
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by starpilot on Saturday April 20, 2013 @09:13PM (#5583467)
I see it as a futures contract on the value of the BTC. Selling a mining ASIC locks in profit for the seller, betting that this will exceed the time-value generated from the rig itself. Buying a rig locks in a loss, betting that it will pay for itself. We can't be certain whether the BTC will be at US$1,000 or US$1 a year from now. You could make a case for either side, that's why the contract exists.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by sliverstorm on Saturday April 20, 2013 @09:54PM (#5583545)
Which, by the way, doesn't mean they are betting against BTC. They just elected to take sure profit up front, over less certain profit of potentially greater value long-term.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by rbanffy on Saturday April 20, 2013 @10:38PM (#5583647)
I don't think so. They probably needed the preorder money to fully develop the device and to be able to manufacture it.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by BaconJuice on Saturday April 20, 2013 @08:46PM (#5583403)
are there any alternatives to this? and some thing that's already selling them and not pre-orders?
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by dualogy on Sunday April 21, 2013 @02:51AM (#5584120)
> I doubted that these ASIC rigs would ship any time soon. Wouldn't it be more profitable for the vendors to simply to delay/cancel orders and run the rigs 24/7 themselves?

Only if they're "long BTC". What makes you think they are? They're just providing shovels & tools to "miners in a gold rush". Historically, such providers have always done phenominally well.

At least they get the rigs at production cost to run them---selling them for good ol' USD may just be a hedge or sideshow, only time can tell.

Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by Too on Sunday April 21, 2013 @03:36AM (#5584210)
The difference with shovels is you need to be there and shovel yourself. Here if you have tool, you just plug it in and it does all the work for you.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by drawkbox on Sunday April 21, 2013 @04:36AM (#5584315)
There is energy expended during the process though. I imagine if this continues 'banks' of the future will be data centers. Also might be a way to make money on idle servers at data centers.

If anything this is an extremely interesting time in currency experimentation. Side effect of this is massive energy cost, another awesome side effect is hardware/supercomputer miniaturization and evolution. Great for really hard problems like verification (as in mining here) and maybe brain research/processing or other really hard data crunching problems.

Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by MaysonL on Sunday April 21, 2013 @01:18PM (#5585492)
I'm amazed that there hasn't been a scandal with some Googler or Microsofty or Appler or academic finding a way to use some fraction of their unused cycles for mining.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by Too on Monday April 22, 2013 @01:02PM (#5590391)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bitcoin#Botnet_mining

http://thenextweb.com/au/2011/06/23/abc-employee-caught-mini...

Doesn't mention anything about the computing capability of those servers though.

Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by unreal37 on Saturday April 20, 2013 @09:46PM (#5583531)
Their competitor Avalon sells the units for "the first 30 days profit of the device". So whatever the current price of Bitcoins and mining difficulty affects the price.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by SG- on Saturday April 20, 2013 @10:21PM (#5583620)
I'm sure the same thing was said during the gold rush days and it was the store owners that sold prospecting equipment that made some very stable money.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by liveaxle on Saturday April 20, 2013 @10:25PM (#5583627)
Those store owners couldn't use a thousand pickaxes simultaneously.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by baddox on Saturday April 20, 2013 @11:06PM (#5583705)
They could hire people to operate the pickaxes, like how BFL would have to pay for electricity to power their mining hardware.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by uid on Sunday April 21, 2013 @05:32AM (#5584402)
what makes you think they aren't doing just that? they could start shipping them out and make a profit on the machines just as the difficulty rate picks up and there is more profit to be made in selling miners rather than mining.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by daniel-cussen on Saturday April 20, 2013 @09:20PM (#5583482)
Part of the value of Bitcoin (if any) is that it's decentralized. It should be more profitable to sell the miners out than to hoard them because if they're distributed the cryptographic safety of Bitcoin is greater.
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by illuminate on Sunday April 21, 2013 @05:08PM (#5586409)
"It should be more profitable to sell the miners out than to hoard them because if they're distributed the cryptographic safety of Bitcoin is greater"

Can you explain this in more detail? I don't understand what decentralization has to do with miners' profit.

Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by daniel-cussen on Friday May 03, 2013 @08:00PM (#5653358)
Decentralization boosts miners' profits by making bitcoin sounder, and therefore making its price higher.

Miner's profits have to do with the stability of the network and the demand for bitcoins. At high bitcoin prices, their return is better than when the prices are low, other things (thing, mining difficulty) being equal. It's much like gold mining: it has become much more profitable of late because the difference between extraction price ($250 to $400 per ounce in most places) and sale price (roughly $1,500 per ounce) is how much the miner takes home.

Decentralization increases this price because it makes bitcoin sound. If there's no one door to knock down, or one person to subpoena, the cyberpunk currency can robustly survive losses in its network and still have enough computing power trained on it to prevent attacks.

Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by MasterScrat on Sunday April 21, 2013 @05:07AM (#5584372)
From what I understand these devices started shipping right after the BitCoin peaked... Maybe the vendors kept "testing" them for just a bit longer than they expected?
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by rscale on Saturday April 20, 2013 @08:53PM (#5583420)
This seems like it would be begging for a class-action lawsuit.

That said, I've half-joked that probability of receiving my miner is probably about 0.98^(USDBTC).

Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by sjtgraham on Saturday April 20, 2013 @09:01PM (#5583443)
How can one litigate against an entity beyond the jurisdiction of the US court system, e.g. say the rig manufacturer was the crook and not in the United States? What are the options there?
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by funtober on Saturday April 20, 2013 @10:19PM (#5583618)
The options are to sue them in their foreign country or sue them in the United States. If you sue them in the US, you face jurisdictional issues (do they have sufficient contacts in the US to make a lawsuit here fair?) as well as judgment recognition issues (you would probably have to attach the damage award to a contract they have with someone in the US to collect if the foreign country court system doesn't recognize the US judgment).
Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by sjtgraham on Saturday April 20, 2013 @10:39PM (#5583652)
Thanks for your answer. I have two questions if you don't mind:

- Are reciprocal judgements possible in a lawsuit such as this hypothetical example?

- What is to stop the defendent from liquidating and reappearing as a new legal entity?

Re:Bitcoin ASIC Miner from BFL, finally by funtober on Sunday April 21, 2013 @10:35AM (#5584966)
Reciprocal judgments: I'm not perfectly clear what you mean by reciprocal judgment. I think that you'll find this helpful on the matter, though: http://travel.state.gov/law/judicial/judicial_691.html

Liquidation: Corporate governance issues are a matter of the country where the defendant is organized. So if the law there allows them to do it, they can. I'm less familiar with the process of chasing the money. Trying to remember back to law school here: In the US, the debt doesn't just disappear. It would either attach to the old entity (which would have to be paid a fair price for the acquisition of its assets) or the new entity (which acquired its assets and liabilities per the acquisition agreement). So if it has no assets to begin with, it's possible. If it has real assets, it's more difficult to do. Not impossible, just more difficult.