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Re:Massive glacier collapse by purephase on Monday February 04, 2013 @10:34AM (#5164585)
Thanks for reminding me. It's been on my to-do list.

This video is simply staggering in it's immensity. For the life of me, it is these events that make me seriously question whether the climate change deniers have ulterior motives. The fact that the calving scale has so dramatically increased in the past 10-20 years is terrifying and how anyone can pass it off without concern is beyond me.

Re:Massive glacier collapse by VMG on Monday February 04, 2013 @11:18AM (#5164891)
I'm not a denier but I don't find the video particularly impressive. It's massive event from a human perspective, but that doesn't mean anything. The total amount of sea level change from that is probably below 1mm.

You also shouldn't expect deniers or people like me, who think that there is little that can be done to prevent climate change, to be impressed by that footage.

Re:Massive glacier collapse by cryptoz on Monday February 04, 2013 @11:20AM (#5164900)
We're not suggesting that this 4 minute clip alone would be understood or change anyone's perspective. The full length film, showing significantly more than just one large event that happened in less than two hours, is what we're talking about and what is so immensely impactful.

Edit: Wait. What? You said you are someone "who think[s] that there is little that can be done to prevent climate change"

What makes you think that? Since humans are a leading cause of the existing change, almost by definition we are capable of working to prevent further damage. Sure, it's going to be extraordinarily difficult and near-impossible, but we can do it. Why would you think otherwise?

Re:Massive glacier collapse by twoodfin on Monday February 04, 2013 @12:25PM (#5165502)
I can't speak for VMG, but:

Assume you buy that human emissions are driving enough of climate change that if we removed that driver things would stay "cool enough". China has already markedly surpassed the U.S. as the largest total CO2 emitter, and they're not even close to the U.S.'s per capita emissions. Even if they can manage to continue to industrialize while only emitting per capita as much as the nuclear-heavy French, you're still looking at an increase of 15-20%, and I think that's optimistic. AFAIK, the Chinese are building coal fired power plants as fast as they can.

And that's just China. India and Africa would like to enjoy a Western quality of life as well.

I am extremely skeptical that CO2 emissions can be substantially curtailed, short of a world economic collapse that would make 2007-2009 look like a walk in the park.

But I am more than willing to be convinced. I think it would help the alarmed AGW folks immensely if they would unify around a politically impractical "if we ruled the world" plan. One sufficiently detailed that it could be analyzed for its climatic, economic and social effects, as well as publicized, criticized and modified until it becomes practical. A starting point might be, "Tax fossil fuel extraction at the source at levels sufficient to reduce emissions the necessary N%". But then you have to figure out what to do about the facts that this sort of plan would likely never be accepted by Russia or China, and that it's a massively regressive tax on the world's poor. There are solutions to these issues. Figure them out, add them to the plan, lather, rinse, repeat. If something like this already exists, I haven't seen it.

Re:Massive glacier collapse by greggman on Monday February 04, 2013 @01:16PM (#5165894)
The problem won't be solved by legislation or taxes. It will only be solved by "desirable" tech. The Tesla Model S is but one example, it's as stylish as a BMW and faster than most other cars in it's class. The majority of the people in the same market segment would love a Tesla.

Bring something similar to the low-end market. Bring it at a competitive price. Make it more desirable than the existing stuff and people will switch because they desire it. Not because some law says they have to.

Do the same for everything else. Invent better cheaper and more eco friendly housing, energy, food production, transportation. Like the Tesla it must be more desirable and better in nearly every way then its competition.

IMO that's the only way forward. As you pointed out there's no way to get the entire world to follow some eco laws. Especially when most of the world is wants a better quality of life. If we give them that quality of life or better but with affordable and better eco-tech / eco-design we'll solve the problems.

Re:Massive glacier collapse by bwhite on Monday February 04, 2013 @12:38PM (#5165621)
You can push the argument further. Postulate that climate change is real, and that you could accurately describe the policy steps necessary to eliminate it, and that you could bring about those policy changes on a global scale. What are the negative impacts? What is the chance of climate change occurring anyway? Anthropogenic change is peanuts compared a huge mess of Siberian volcanoes firing off for a million years.
Re:Massive glacier collapse by VMG on Monday February 04, 2013 @12:41PM (#5165645)
> What makes you think that? Since humans are a leading cause of the existing change, almost by definition we are capable of working to prevent further damage.

I don't see why that follows at all. I understand that if everybody thought and acted as you and I probably do, and would build nuclear plants, maybe the effects of GW can be mitigated, but that obviously is not the case.

I'd argue the other way around: the best evidence that there is little that can be done is that there is little that is being done. The Chinese don't even care if you can't see your own hand before your eyes in Peking today, what hope do I have that they care about remote places in 50 years?

Doing something individually against GW is at the far far far bottom of my TODO list. Because it is not an effective use of my time. Maybe the most effective would be working for a Geoengieering company if I had the opportunity.

Re:Massive glacier collapse by sheri on Monday February 04, 2013 @11:31AM (#5164979)
Did you watch the entire video? The last minute or so put things into context. It said that the glacier retreated more in the last 10 years than in the 100 years before that. I think that is a reason for concern and it is impressive, any which way you look at it.
Re:Massive glacier collapse by pdonis on Monday February 04, 2013 @11:42AM (#5165089)
the glacier retreated more in the last 10 years than in the 100 years before that

How much did the glacier retreat 1000 years ago during the Medieval Warm Period? And how much did it grow back 400-500 years ago during the Little Ice Age?

100 years of data is not enough to understand what's really going on.

Re:Massive glacier collapse by DanWaterworth on Monday February 04, 2013 @11:31AM (#5164980)
Only glaciers on land cause sea level rise.
Re:Massive glacier collapse by snowwrestler on Monday February 04, 2013 @01:07PM (#5165821)
The greatest factor in projected sea level rise is the average temperature of the oceans--warm water takes up more volume, and there is a lot more water than ice in the world. Melting of land-supported ice is a fairly distant second.

This is not a direct response to you, but it's a fact that few people seem to realize when discussing ocean levels and global warming.

Re:Massive glacier collapse by DanWaterworth on Monday February 04, 2013 @01:22PM (#5165936)
Interesting, can you cite references for this?
Re:Massive glacier collapse by snowwrestler on Monday February 04, 2013 @01:42PM (#5166078)
This is covered in the discussion of sea-level rise in the IPCC reports linked in several comments above. Wikipedia has a page about it with lots of source links:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Current_sea_level_rise

edit to fix link

Re:Massive glacier collapse by anon1385 on Monday February 04, 2013 @11:36AM (#5165030)
Jakobshavn Glacier drains 6.5% of the Greenland ice sheet
Re:Massive glacier collapse by DanWaterworth on Monday February 04, 2013 @11:39AM (#5165062)
Right, I'm just saying that this event didn't cause an immediate increase in sea level.
Re:Massive glacier collapse by incision on Monday February 04, 2013 @11:19AM (#5164895)
>For the life of me, it is these events that make me seriously question whether the climate change deniers have ulterior motives.

I don't follow.

I'd think ulterior motives would be all but implicit in any case where there's even a perception of money / power to be gained/lost.

Re:Massive glacier collapse by sageikosa on Monday February 04, 2013 @12:21PM (#5165467)
I don't deny that climate is changing. But if we're going to pick favorites from nature's children, I think it is in our own best interest to pick mankind.

I am not "truly" amazed that people can mentally delete the human population in whole or in part and claim to know what the Earth's climate should be like without mankind (or at least the "unnaturally" large number of them) as if the totality of human existence were an input to a computer model to be optimized for some target value.

Re:Massive glacier collapse by purephase on Monday February 04, 2013 @12:35PM (#5165593)
Mental laziness is probably best. The common argument is that the costs to curtail are so enormous that it is not worth attempting or that we would be denying quality of life to up-and-coming economies.

My point is that it is easier to deny than work towards finding a solution.

Re:Massive glacier collapse by illuminate on Monday February 04, 2013 @03:20PM (#5166814)
"make me seriously question whether the climate change deniers have ulterior motives"

The ones in power do, but the followers accept plenty of concepts because they run contrarian to what various "authorities" state and believe.

It follows with plenty of subjects, not just "What do scientists know, anyway?" but plenty of "What does medicine know?" and other fields.

Re:Massive glacier collapse by martinced on Monday February 04, 2013 @10:48AM (#5164675)
What do you mean by "calving scale"? "calving scale" gives about one thousand matches on Google and they don't seem related.

I think that the only ulterior motives deniers have is to refuse to face a simple fact: 8 billion people and all the cattle needed to feed them is probably something that earth cannot widthstand for very long. So either we all start eating insects (they are way more environmentally friendly than cattle) or we start limiting birthrate.

I know that it is estimated that total world population shall go down by 2100 or so but I'm not sure we can wait that long.

One kid per couple. Boom. Problem solved.

But who wants to hear that?

Re:Massive glacier collapse by thesis on Monday February 04, 2013 @11:00AM (#5164753)
It's absolutely not that simple. Try telling a country like Japan (who projects a 30% decrease in population by 2060) couples can only have 1 child.
Re:Massive glacier collapse by trentlott on Monday February 04, 2013 @11:28AM (#5164957)
First you need couples.
Re:Massive glacier collapse by purephase on Monday February 04, 2013 @10:58AM (#5164735)
Re:Massive glacier collapse by zaphoyd on Monday February 04, 2013 @11:00AM (#5164750)
I would guess that scale in this context refers to the extent to which the calving happens rather than a specific scale named calving.