Re:Nvidia Allegedly Engineered Scarcity by Funding AI Startu...
by bagacrap on Saturday November 14, 2026 @09:48AM
(#50497456)
Amazon, Microsoft, Google, they all have a broad range of products and services. Google is probably the least diverse, relying too much on search, which makes their business riskier, and it's (probably) why their p/e multiple has always been the lowest of the tech megacaps. Nvidia's multiple is on the low side right now, so perhaps the market agrees that their risk is too concentrated.
> they can easily pay to make the debt collectors go away.
Sure, if it didn't come at the same time as all their other customers pulling back, and lots of other debt collectors simultaneously knocking on the door, and a spike in the cost of capital (read: stock starts crashing).
Re:Nvidia Allegedly Engineered Scarcity by Funding AI Startu...
by quickthrowman on Saturday November 14, 2026 @09:59AM
(#50497545)
Keep in mind that NVidia has 75% gross margins, so any loan they backstop has an enormous amount of net income embedded in it.
So yeah if it goes tits up, they loose customers, but they’re customers that wouldn’t exist otherwise, and they can easily pay to make the debt collectors go away. But if it’s anything except a complete collapse, then they’ve grown the customer base for their products long term, and hedged against hyper scalers replacing them with custom silicon.
At the moment it looks like the downside risk is limited, and in the worse case, tolerable, whereas the upside is unbounded. Those are really good bets to be placing, the only trade-off is opportunity cost. But even there, what other opportunities could Nvidia be deploying their cash into, beyond share buybacks?