You'll note that as AI gets better what it gets better at is giving us what we already had: whiteboards with more customisation, games that ran on X device now run on Y, a website GUI for a old workflow app, a one-off script that does what we'd've used Excel for, etc.

We're accelerating our ability to produce mediocre software that solves common-place, mediocre problems, but with more "freedom", more customisation.

His Lordship Mr Blow, has something of an academic sense of what innovation means. He wants to see new problems being solved. A new O/S that is "secure by design" in throwing away old models of shared-CPU schedulers, and the like. I assume, new techniques in 3D game graphics. New ways of mixing compile-time/run-time langauges to accelerate development. And so on. New in the way that an academic research project should be new.

What we have from AI in software isnt anything new. Claude releases an office suite with AI assistance. We havent yet seen AI accelerate anything other than end-user programming, or lift-and-shift projects.

These might be very valuable, but theyre not innovative.