Come on, don’t be a potato just because you don’t like someones opinion. The parent posts point is obvious and not rhetorical at all.

It’s more reasonable to extrapolate based on past evidence than arbitrary conjecture.

Self driving cars are great!

…but fully autonomous (level 4+) driving turns out to be really much harder to do that the initial 6-12 of self driving demos suggested it would be.

Its always easier to get the first prototypes and demos up, and its literally ALWAYS wrong to extrapolate exponential improvement based on that initial set of results.

It should be a surprise to no one that AI coding follows a diminishing returns log curve, and that improvements are merely incremental after the initial burst of improvement.

> The parent posts point is obvious and not rhetorical at all.

I am still not sure what their opinion or point is, because they vagueposted instead of telling us.

Coding is a technical problem. Self-driving cars are a political problem.

Right, we've had trains for over a century!

Ironically, even self-driving trains are a political problem. How stupid is it that we still have train wrecks every so often? Obviously a solvable problem, but humans still insist on being involved for some reason.