Re:I'm Not Convinced the AI Bubble Exists
by mrandish on Monday November 09, 2026 @07:04PM
(#50434249)
Got it. As I mentioned, owning shares isn't "control" (absent a separate agreement), so they have no control to force anything, they can just choose to dump their shares, depressing the share price while losing money themselves.
> hyperscalers will just get drastic haircuts.
I think everyone may get drastic haircuts (though I'm still hoping for a 'soft unwind' type slow-mo crash, I don't think the odds are good). Hyperscalers are what probably breaks first and worst because more of their money is from creditors vs investors, combined with, more of their creditors are financial speculators / banks who have no vested interest in propping up the AI market (like an NV, FL do). They are only loyal to their cash.
Google, Amazon owns Anthropic shares. Microsoft owns OpenAI shares. Fairly sure some of the others also have Anthropic and OpenAI shares. And I mean large chunks, at least 5% up to 30%, I think.
I agree with the rest but I think hyperscalers will just get drastic haircuts.