> All AI has to do is catch problems earlier in the pipeline to outcome success rates.

Which it has shown no ability to do, so far.

i think it's a promising ai-shaped problem

you have inputs and outputs mapped for the trials and know historically how trials tend to fail

not a leap to have ai assist in proposing or reviewing trials to reduce failure rates. even a 10% reduction is massive

It's not an AI-shaped problem. The mapping from inputs to outputs is something like "the most complex process humans are aware of." You're trying to map a chemical in a pill (or a shot) from the organism down to organs down to cells, through the metabolome, proteome, genome, and so on, both down then back up, until you get back to "outcome that a human being feels positively about."

All AI has to do to make poverty nonexistent is to find a way to make everyone rich.

All AI has to do to prove n=NP is to just prove n is equal to NP

All ai has to do to make space travel possible is find a way around the laws of thermodynamics