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A comment on Tencent Hy4. Parent comment

Re:Tencent Hy4 by OccamsMirror on Thursday November 05, 2026 @09:45PM (#50387512)
> LLMs comparable to today's state of the art are going to be running on $1-2K machines in a few years

This is a huge claim. What makes you think this will be the case?

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Re:Tencent Hy4 by timschmidt on Thursday November 05, 2026 @10:21PM (#50387767)
Qwen 3.8 27B, not even the superior Flash Next 125B, running on a single 3090 in my workstation handily whoops ChatGPT 3.5 from just a couple years ago.

Seems like he's just drawing that line into the future. Which seems sensible enough.

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Re:Tencent Hy4 by hedora on Friday November 06, 2026 @11:29AM (#50394551)
I'm drawing the line into the past. Back when Biden was president, a computer that currently runs Flash Next 125B well cost $1400.

But yeah, I assume that when the economy gets back to normal-ish, in 2024-equivalent dollars, we'll be at 500B-1T for < $2000. That'll be 3-4 Moore's Law doublings since computer prices were sane.

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