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Re:Show HN: I made a retirement simulator: 125 years of data... by nhootan on Wednesday August 26, 2026 @03:11PM (#49454245)
Thanks, that's most of why I built it. A US only backtest is one draw where you already know who won. This is 25 countries over 125 years, block bootstrapped with the domestic country resampled, so something like Japan after 1990 shows up.
Re:Show HN: I made a retirement simulator: 125 years of data... by bryanlarsen on Wednesday August 26, 2026 @03:20PM (#49454386)
Do you have Germany 1914 in your dataset? There's no safe withdrawal rate for that particular data point...
Re:Show HN: I made a retirement simulator: 125 years of data... by nhootan on Wednesday August 26, 2026 @03:41PM (#49454688)
The Germany's data is in since 1901, but there is a gap between 1922-1923, cause the underlying dataset, DMS, has no bonds data for that period.