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A comment on What is happening to jobs? Separating AI hype from reality. Parent comment

Re:What is happening to jobs? Separating AI hype from reality by raincole on Saturday July 25, 2026 @07:52PM (#49053060)
Any research on the impact of AI would have been lagging indicators. It's not the researchers' fault[0], but the nature of a field moving at neck breaking speed. Remember there was a paper saying programmers were 20% slower with AI?

[0]: well...

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Re:What is happening to jobs? Separating AI hype from reality by ballsac on Saturday July 25, 2026 @08:15PM (#49053226)
Well… what
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Re:What is happening to jobs? Separating AI hype from reality by jdlshore on Saturday July 25, 2026 @08:46PM (#49053440)
That early 2025 METR study was particularly interesting because participants self-evaluated themselves as 20% faster, but the measurements showed they were actually 19% slower.

All the reports of productivity since then are self-reported, or using questionable measures such as SLOC and PRs, so it’s reasonable to say that productivity improvements are still unknown.

Unfortunately, METR hasn’t been able to replicate the study because they couldn’t find enough willing participants.

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Re:What is happening to jobs? Separating AI hype from reality by wolvesechoes on Monday July 27, 2026 @01:37AM (#49065523)
> Remember there was a paper saying programmers were 20% slower with AI?

Key thing was not that they were X% slower, but that they were slower while being convinced they are faster. Of course, any analogies with the current hype cycle are completely unfounded.

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