Re:Alphabet's cash burn raises alarm for Big Tech as AI spen...
by Aurornis on Thursday July 23, 2026 @12:10PM
(#49023968)
> I’d bet most people could be downgraded to a 12 month old frontier model, and not notice for a week or so.
This is another unbelievable claim. I actually used frontier models from 12 months ago and they were completely different.
Opus 4.6 and 4.8 are basically indistinguishable from Fable and Sonnet 5. 4.7 was a hot mess. The guardrails on 4.8 and 5.0 make them worse than 4.6 for many tasks. So, even if Fable is theoretically better, refusals/downgrades make it a worse product in practice. Who cares if it outperforms on 1-2% of real world tasks if 5-10% of tasks are blocked?
I’d bet most people could be downgraded to a 12 month old frontier model, and not notice for a week or so.
Anthropic’s big problem is that open weight models are 0-6 months behind. So, their product is commoditized and margins are never going to be good.