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A comment on AI Is Slowing Down. Parent comment

Re:AI Is Slowing Down by abroszka33 on Tuesday June 09, 2026 @06:57AM (#48459378)
> He wrote this in 2024 before reasoning models came out. Remember how ChatGPT was in 2024? Do you think this person is someone who gets predictions right?

Any benchmark on AI shows that it gets better linearly. So his prediction was correct. There is no exponential AI improvement anywhere.

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Re:AI Is Slowing Down by simianwords on Tuesday June 09, 2026 @02:04PM (#48465005)
>Any benchmark on AI shows that it gets better linearly. So his prediction was correct. There is no exponential AI improvement anywhere.

?? https://metr.org/blog/2025-03-19-measuring-ai-ability-to-com...

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Re:AI Is Slowing Down by abroszka33 on Tuesday June 09, 2026 @03:49PM (#48466679)
Ok, I guess there are some weird benchmarks where they managed to squeeze out an exponential. But even with Google's, OpenAI's or Anthropic's own benchmark it's a linear improvement between models.
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