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A comment on Who Wins and Who Loses in Prediction Markets? Evidence from Polymarket. Parent comment

Re:Who Wins and Who Loses in Prediction Markets? Evidence fr... by Retr0id on Thursday May 21, 2026 @12:29PM (#48225406)
Slop aside, do you think it's reasonable to assume a decent fraction of those making consistent profits are arbitrage bots?
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Re:Who Wins and Who Loses in Prediction Markets? Evidence fr... by postflopclarity on Thursday May 21, 2026 @12:54PM (#48225767)
arbitrage is a rather overloaded word that people use for all kinds of strategies but yes, I predict most of the most profitable and consistent accounts are not actually attempting to forecast the outcome of these markets from first principles
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