Re:SpaceX S-1
by etempleton on Wednesday May 20, 2026 @09:19PM
(#48216603)
Anthropic is not profitable and does not expect to be revenue even until 2028. They are just losing less billions per year than everyone else.
As always, free cash flow and unit economics are more interesting than net profit.
By which metrics Anthropic is making a lot of money.
Re:SpaceX S-1
by fooblaster on Wednesday May 20, 2026 @10:44PM
(#48217201)
how exactly can you assume they have unit profitability
Plenty of analysis on this point, the inputs are not secret. Check out Semianalysis for example.
They have something like 70% margin on inference.
Re:SpaceX S-1
by fooblaster on Wednesday May 20, 2026 @11:59PM
(#48217707)
so speculation from a semiconductor website. that's incredibly likely to be wrong
Re:SpaceX S-1
by satvikpendem on Thursday May 21, 2026 @12:20AM
(#48217835)
We will see once Anthropic releases their S-1 too this summer.
I think you should do a bit of research and come back once you have fixed your knowledge gaps.
Re:SpaceX S-1
by fooblaster on Thursday May 21, 2026 @08:38AM
(#48221696)
what research? it's private and there is large incentive to lie until ipo
They had 40% margin on inference in 2025.
You can quibble about the exact numbers, but I think it’s fairly clear at this point that inference is profitable with decent margins. Like you say, unit economics are more interesting than the profitability of the company as a whole.
Total investment is 20-40B, rent to Anthropic for 45B over 3 years.
Anthropic is also profitable now.