To the extent that Google and Anthropic are competing for AI business, Google is somewhat hedged against Anthropic winning market share. They still get data center revenue and they own equity.
The vendor financing stuff I saw (as a junior / intern at a supplier) in those days was a reflection of that culture. They’d lease capital equipment through GE Capital, and pack it with other stuff to the limit of their accountants appetite for risk. (You can usually roll 20% of the value into services or peripheral stuff) I remember one deal where we had to run around and buy office supplies and tools with a corporate card. I did 4 Honda Civic of laser toner.
GE was reporting their own capital equipment and office supplies as revenue on the Capital side. :) But that is penny ante stuff in terms of what they did.
The AI stuff is a shady variation of that, but likely far worse as we’ve fired all of the watchers.
and if I can deposit funds, make "investments" (gambling or not.. to me most stock investments are gambling anyway since they pay out in dividends based on quarterly profits) and withdraw money, that is at it's core a bank.
However, in these and many other cases they are now effectively unregulated ones. Partly because the executive branch responsible for said regulations have their hands in the pie.
Not according to pretty much all countries. When a depositor is making investments, that is called a brokerage, not a bank. But these gambling websites are not making investments either.
Also, with the transition to digital currency, banks don't really have the same purpose anymore of storing and guaranteeing people's access to their money, now that money is entries in a digital ledger and there is no risk of losing the money (outside of political risks where someone edits the database). They have been obviated, but the system persists.
>most stock investments are gambling anyway since they pay out in dividends based on quarterly profits
This is not true, publicly listed companies' boards regularly choose to vary dividend amounts based on longer term cash flow, and you will be sorely disappointed if you are expecting dividends to land in your account as a function of quarterly profits.
And how do you expect a business to work if it did not vary dividends? No business knows the future, and dividends are the same as owners paying themselves a profit, so if owners do not know how much profit there will be in the future, how can dividends be a "known" quantity? They have to be based on profits, they literally are the owners distributing the profit amongst themselves
Any venture in life is gambling, just like people exploring the oceans and traversing continents without knowing what was ahead of them was gambling. But that is a different type of gambling than risking money with no effect on the outcome such as on the aforementioned gambling websites and casinos.
The POTUS kids are players in Polymarket and Kalshi, and are running crypto grifts.
The SEC fired most of their investigators, hasn’t appointed members to key boards, and cancelled most of their contracts with FINRA. (Which has laid off a ton of people) Nobody is watching.
So there’s an open season for normal corporate bullshit, and if you’re personally committing felonies attributable to you, you make sure you do it in Florida, and pay a vig to the library fund for a pardon.
We’ll have a fun run, then everything starts exploding in mid 2027-2029.
> To be honest, I think "vendor financing" is still a very risky premise.
If anyone is interested to learn about the damage that the financialisation of General Electric (USA) brought upon itself, you can ask ChatGPT to tell you the story. It is too long to repeat here.
Here is a sample prompt that I used to remind myself:
> I am interested in the history of General Electric and the trouble that their financing units brought in the early to mid 2000s. Can you tell me more?Edit: I am not asking whether ChatGPT is better than Google Search, I am asking after the standard dodge of citing one's sources.
EDIT ---- Also, the OP was so brief about GE Cap, I realised that most readers under 30 (maybe 35) will have almost no knowledge or memory of that economic history. I wanted to offer an "intellectual carrot" (ChatGPT prompt) for anyone wishing to learn more. ----
What bothered me most about the original post was the person was putting all vendor financing in the same "bad" bucket. I disagree. I would characterise GE Cap as an infamous example! They were the worst of the worst in a generation (25 years). Most vendor financing is very boring and is used to buy big heavy things with very long operational lives. If the buyer goes bankrupt, it is (relatively) easy to repossess the big heavy thing and sell it again (probably with vendor financing again!).
I just cannot justify the environmental impact and surveillance of using LLMs for everything. I prefer to summarize recent information myself. LLMs are not particularly good at it.
Funny thing about the cable analogy. Ever since all streaming providers have started cranking up prices and still forcing users to see hundreds of ads my family has been buying second hand dvds. So we have regressed from streaming to right after cable. I know one family that went back to cable, they do still watch YouTubes here and there but they got sick of it.
The OP did mention GE Capital, the motherload of all heavy industry vendor financing. And of massaging the accounting books in order to increase shareholder value in the short term, also.
> motherload of all heavy industry vendor financing
I'd suggest learning more about this subject instead of assuming you already know enough.
Vendors may be positioned to know how a customer is doing, but they're also incentivized to overestimate how well a customer is going to perform.
GE Capital (edit: and GMCA) is a great example of how seemingly reasonable vendor financing can cause the lender serious problems.