Re:We haven't seen the worst of what gambling and prediction...
by MaysonL on Thursday March 26, 2026 @09:35PM
(#47538102)
“The best way to predict the future is to invent it.”
Re:We haven't seen the worst of what gambling and prediction...
by LeifCarrotson on Friday March 27, 2026 @02:44PM
(#47546653)
That's only for futures that are easy to invent, for others it is way easier to just bribe or threaten a journalist (works on most journalists, YMMV) to say that you've invented it and then run off with the money before anyone can prove you wrong.
Prediction markets create incentives to predict the outcome of an event, which can be done in one of three ways: develop better models to predict the event, affect the event, or affect the reporting on the event.
[1] https://www.timesofisrael.com/gamblers-trying-to-win-a-bet-o...