OpenAI Fires an Employee for Prediction Market Insider Trading

Re:OpenAI Fires an Employee for Prediction Market Insider Tr... by jstanley on Saturday February 28, 2026 @11:50AM (#47197489)

I don't think your example refutes the fairness heuristic at all.

The first case is completely fair because anybody else could have done the same thing without any special access required.

The second case is unfair because you had to work at the company to get access.

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Re:OpenAI Fires an Employee for Prediction Market Insider Tr... by tyre on Saturday February 28, 2026 @12:20PM (#47197825)

Okay, then imagine you overhear at a bar. Yes “anyone could have” theoretically, but not actually. In either case, you have material non-public information that your counterparty in the market does not.

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Re:OpenAI Fires an Employee for Prediction Market Insider Tr... by j16sdiz on Saturday February 28, 2026 @01:03PM (#47198336)

you got that piece of non public information was not because you are an insider. As long as the bar is not exclusive to insider, i don't see any difference

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Re:OpenAI Fires an Employee for Prediction Market Insider Tr... by cortesoft on Saturday February 28, 2026 @02:28PM (#47199204)

Isn't it exclusive to people who live in the area of the bar?

What if the bar has a cover charge, so only those who pay get in?

What if the cover charge is $10,000 and the bar is advertised as "the place where public company execs love to come talk to each other about private deals"?

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