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Re:Chinese AI models have lagged the US frontier by 7 months... by jacquesm on Thursday January 08, 2026 @03:45PM (#46546198)
Definitely not just talking about Trump. The failure is institutional, the whole thing is just incredible watching from the outside in, you've never had a more 'clear and present danger' to the USA and to the world order and all of the institutions that are supposed to protect against that are failing one after the other.

This is how you go from stability to world wars. A couple of rich guys got together and decided they were going to redraw all of the maps and toss the rulebook overboard, and it is for the most part going their way. People are being executed and the useful idiots are falling over each other to defend it.

If you had told me in 1999 that this would happen by 2026 I would have happily declared you mad, but here we are.

Re:Chinese AI models have lagged the US frontier by 7 months... by palmotea on Thursday January 08, 2026 @04:22PM (#46546664)
> A couple of rich guys got together and decided they were going to redraw all of the maps and toss the rulebook overboard, and it is for the most part going their way. People are being executed and the useful idiots are falling over each other to defend it.

It's way deeper than that, though. It's stuff like US businessmen choosing to literally move the US's rare-earth magnet production capacity to China, teaching China how make them in the process (https://www.nytimes.com/2025/12/31/business/china-rare-earth...). It's the US knowing about it's rare-earth vulnerability for a decade or more but being completely unable to do anything about it. It's the US losing other strategic capabilities like large-scale electronics manufacturing capacity, and people being totally fine with that because "cheaper iPhones, more margins, good deal!"

Re:Chinese AI models have lagged the US frontier by 7 months... by jacquesm on Thursday January 08, 2026 @05:35PM (#46547476)
This short term thinking over long term thinking goes back a long time and is happening in other places as well.

But the singular focus on destruction of what is a cornerstone of the stability of the Western hemisphere is absolutely unprecedented. And to see so many people falling for it, hook line and sinker. They are so blasted with crazy things that they no longer see anything strange at all about each and every day's happenings and they even jump to defend the absolutely indefensible, something that probably would have been - rightly - horrified by less than a decade ago is now perfectly normal.

Re:Chinese AI models have lagged the US frontier by 7 months... by palmotea on Thursday January 08, 2026 @06:08PM (#46547817)
> This short term thinking over long term thinking goes back a long time and is happening in other places as well.

> But the singular focus on destruction of what is a cornerstone of the stability of the Western hemisphere is absolutely unprecedented. And to see so many people falling for it, hook line and sinker.

IMHO, that short-term thinking over such a long span laid the groundwork for that destruction.

I read this the other day, and I think it's an interesting take that rings true:

https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/06/opinion/trump-presidentia...:

> Instead of comparing what is happening under Trump with the situations in Hungary, Turkey and Russia, Goldstone argued that conditions in the United States are,

>> ironically, more like what happened in Venezuela, where after a century of reasonably prosperous democratic government, decades of elite self-serving neglect of popular welfare led to the election of Hugo Chávez with a mandate to get rid of the old elites and create a populist dictatorship.

>> I find that decades-long trends in the U.S. — stagnating wages for non-college-educated males, sharply declining social mobility, fierce political polarization among the elites and a government sinking deeper and deeper into debt — are earmarks of countries heading into revolutionary upheaval.

>> Just as the French monarchy, despite being the richest and archetypal monarchy, collapsed in the late 18th century because of popular immiseration, elite conflicts and state debts, so the U.S. today, despite being the richest and archetypal democratic republic, is seeing its institutions come under attack today for a similar set of conditions.

Re:Chinese AI models have lagged the US frontier by 7 months... by jacquesm on Thursday January 08, 2026 @06:13PM (#46547862)
Thank you, that is very enlightening, I had not made that link.