Re:AI's $344B 'Language Model' Bet Looks Fragile
by 34679 on Thursday September 11, 2025 @09:30AM
(#45211407)
That's literally not how the word "literally" works.
Re:AI's $344B 'Language Model' Bet Looks Fragile
by jcranmer on Thursday September 11, 2025 @09:51AM
(#45211674)
It literally is: https://www.merriam-webster.com/dictionary/literally
Re:AI's $344B 'Language Model' Bet Looks Fragile
by superblas on Thursday September 11, 2025 @03:28PM
(#45215259)
That’s literally how the English language works. It literally evolves
Re:AI's $344B 'Language Model' Bet Looks Fragile
by card_zero on Thursday September 11, 2025 @04:30PM
(#45215815)
It doesn't proliferate new forms without selection, that's not how evolution works.
(Heh, I see "proliferate" itself is a back-formation.)
Re:AI's $344B 'Language Model' Bet Looks Fragile
by Mizza on Thursday September 11, 2025 @09:16AM
(#45211243)
Even at $10k/yr/employee, you'd need 30 million people on the 10k/yr plan to hit 300B ARR. I think that's a hell of a big swing. 3 million, recoup over ten years? Maybe, but I still don't think so. And then competition between 4 or 5 vendors, larger customers figuring out it's cheaper to train their own models for one thing that gives them 90% of the productivity gains, etc.
But rather than speculating, I'm generally curious what the companies are saying to their investors about the matter.
Re:AI's $344B 'Language Model' Bet Looks Fragile
by simianwords on Thursday September 11, 2025 @12:11PM
(#45213280)
I don’t get why you need 300B arr?
Re:AI's $344B 'Language Model' Bet Looks Fragile
by techpineapple on Thursday September 11, 2025 @08:59AM
(#45211052)
But we won’t get there unless the company integration failure rate falls below 95%
Re:AI's $344B 'Language Model' Bet Looks Fragile
by shredprez on Thursday September 11, 2025 @09:19AM
(#45211280)
Eh, seems likely to me existing companies are structured for human labor in a way that's hard to really hard to untangle — smart individuals can level up with this stuff, but remaking an entire company demands human-level AI (not there yet) or a mostly AI-fluent team (working with/through AI is a new skill and few workers have developed it).
New co's built by individuals who get AI are best positioned to unlock the dramatic effects of the technology, and it's going to take time for them to eclipse encumbent players and then seed the labor market with AI-fluent talent
Think of it as maybe $10k/employee, figuring a conservative 10% boost in productivity against a lowball $100k/year fully burdened salary+benefits. For a company with 10,000 employees that’s $100m/year.