But, wrt your specific description—these LLM based tools are just programs, and they can be easily configured to validate and flatter, or challenge and be obstinate. Surely they could be configured to have a satisfying relationship arc, if some work was put into it. I’m sure we could program a begrudging mentor that only became friendly after you’ve impressed it, if we wanted.
I think you are right that something isn’t there, but the missing thing is deeper than the surface level behavior. They aren’t AI’s, they are just language models. To get closer in some greedy sense, we could give the language model more complex simulated human like behaviors, but that will still be a simulation…
As long as an AI is constructed as a tool for a specific end under the control of people it cannot meet the real social needs of humans.
While there are basic elements of human interaction which robots could provide, the need to have the actual approval of members of your actual community of their own free will and volition cannot be "outsourced" to an entity without agency.
Or as a well more philosophic-Question (call it an oldie): "Needed existence to substain sustaining the saints?"
OT: There once was a saying that while talking to god a lot people became angry, asked by god "Angry for what?" so the people answered, "Angry about you god...", "cos been angry about the people around sometimes..." So god answered: "Like you i also become angry about the people sometimes" and those listening Crowd, knowed from in there, "That was the reason for why god didn't showed up most of the time ?"
Saying "...let me alone!" ?
and if that couldn't be "confussier"... P-:
(still reading)
Just sitting silently with someone can eliminate loneliness, no words needed... sometimes that's preferred. The idea that someone needs to be in an active conversation to not be lonely is missing the mark.
What would be really interesting is how much longer the relationship would last if it were formed on a social media site or forum where there is still some risk of rejection, and validation from others still has the feel of being earned.
Today there are LLM roleplay models than can behave like some character with a specific personality (e.g. a tsundere). So if you want a electronic partner that sometimes puts you in your place you can have it.
And this is with the current roleplay models, sincerely I'm a little scared with what would be available in 5 years.
I guess some elderly people have cognitive decline and might buy this, but I respect elderly people enough not to bet on it.
Fundamentally, in my opinion, you cannot alleviate a human's need for the regard of other humans by substituting a non-human thing whose entire raison d'etre is to step in where it is economically inefficient to put a person. The actual message sent to a human being when you try to pass off an "economically efficient" non-human caretaker or "friend" to them is unmistakably "You do not actually matter to other humans."
I'm sure they know they're not talking to a human, but maybe, even on a tiny subconscious level, if they get even a fraction of that companionship in a simulated way, it is presumably better than the alternative.
Recounting memories from your youth with a robot is not as enjoyable as sharing them with real friends, but maybe it's slightly more engaging than being stuck in a nursing home bed all day by yourself watching TV.
Loneliness is not really about having someone to exchange words with, fundamentally. It is about being validated by other human beings or entities. At a most fundamental level the AI doesn't have a choice except to appear to validate you and this lack of freedom, the fact that you do not win over the AI, means you can't actually get validation from it and without validation you will still be lonely. The notion that all these lonely people out there are so stupid that a robot nodding their head at them and saying "uh huh" is going to trick them into being less lonely ought to be profoundly insulting to everyone.
It is possible that AI might help people process their loneliness or plan their lives or whatever. Maybe one day AIs will be good therapists or not drive people to psychosis. All that seems plausible to me, but they can't meet people's social needs without the capacity to reject people, to form their own peculiar judgements, to be genuine entities whose esteem is actually valuable rather than just something they must appear to provide. AI may one day get there and be creatures who we might want to earn the esteem and approval of, but that doesn't seem to be something people actually want from them economically and it wouldn't solve loneliness anyway, since AI of this kind might well reject a basement dwelling, depressed, sad person just like a human might.