Re:Many Lung Cancers Are Now in Nonsmokers. Scientists Want ...
by maxbond on Tuesday July 22, 2025 @08:51PM
(#44654623)
The present value of $7 in 35 years is $1.45, assuming a risk free rate of 4.5%. Paying $2940 over 35 years is much more affordable than paying $2940 up front. If the goal is to be rational about risk, let's right-size the numbers. Otherwise our figures will be misleading.
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Re:Many Lung Cancers Are Now in Nonsmokers. Scientists Want ...
by kevin_thibedeau on Tuesday July 22, 2025 @09:33PM
(#44654910)
You're not going to spend a fixed price over time. You're going to consume a fixed amount of energy and pay an increasing rate as the dollar inflates.
Re:Many Lung Cancers Are Now in Nonsmokers. Scientists Want ...
by maxbond on Tuesday July 22, 2025 @09:44PM
(#44654966)
Ideally we'd model all relevant parameters, my main point is that presenting the cost as $2940 is misleading.
Re:Many Lung Cancers Are Now in Nonsmokers. Scientists Want ...
by yunwal on Wednesday July 23, 2025 @08:36AM
(#44658514)
And their point was that itβs not. The price of electricity typically grows to offset inflation.
Re:Many Lung Cancers Are Now in Nonsmokers. Scientists Want ...
by maxbond on Wednesday July 23, 2025 @02:07PM
(#44662183)
The time value of money is typically a more significant factor than inflation. If you believe that there will be massive inflation that outstrips the time value of money, then you should still feel this figure is misleading because it's too low.
Re:Many Lung Cancers Are Now in Nonsmokers. Scientists Want ...
by zamadatix on Wednesday July 23, 2025 @02:51PM
(#44662657)
I agree it's best to consider the capex/opex separately but I strongly disagree taking this approach will right-size the number. Here you're taking lifetime opex in nominal dollars but still devaluing it based on inflation anyways, which will not give you a meaningful result.