And before you say “buy an old beater”, then you have to contend with an unreliable car that may cause you to be late to work and get fired. It’s also much easier and cheaper to get a car loan for a newish car than to borrow money to fix a car.
But for most people, maybe not the right answer. There’s a middle ground. There are some very affordable vehicles out there with good warranties. Buy one and for a few hundred a month, you get five years free of worry.
Of course, who does that? What I see are mostly SUVs and other “image” vehicles that cost more to buy and more to run. Frugality just hasn’t been an American trait in recent years, though it seems to be changing in some groups.
It’s completely different than buying a slightly used car and keeping it forever where you know the wear and tear patterns on it and you know how you treat it.
The trouble is if one borrows that $40,000 to buy a brand-new car (which will lose $16,000 over five years), or if one borrows that $40,000 and doesn’t have or doesn’t invest $40,000, or both. Life’s a lot easier if you already have the money.
What if there is a market downturn, and you’re out not only the decrease in value of your assets but also the interest in your loan. I admit this is down to personal preference and risk tolerance.
Current 5 year CD APYs are 4.2-4.7%, while current new car auto loan APRs are 5.2-6.7%.
There is usually no magic spread to be captured unless you’re willing to take more risk (say, money in equities instead of CDs). Financing a depreciating asset against one that is volatile in the short term (and has seen drawdowns of 20% several times in the last 10 years) is a duration to risk mismatch.
That spread capture argument often is just justification for a bad decision - people don’t in practice use credit as liquidity backed by an investment, they use it as a cash advance to buy more car than they would absent financing.
So now instead of buying a $20k car cash, people will buy a $40k car, increasing their debt load against a depreciating asset.
In general, my theory is… if that small spread from borrowing to buy a depreciating asset makes a significant difference to you financially, you can’t afford that car anyway, and you’re better off buying cheaper.
Sorry to unload a bit… that wasn’t about you, that was about me being triggered by seeing this advice a lot :)
Which is what one should do, provided one believes that the long-term result will be positive.
> Financing a depreciating asset against one that is volatile in the short term (and has seen drawdowns of 20% several times in the last 10 years) is a duration to risk mismatch.
Financing an asset and the value of an asset are independent. If one believes that one will get a better yield by investing than one could by avoiding financing, then one should finance. I believe that over time my investment returns will be higher than the current car loan rate.
> people don’t in practice use credit as liquidity backed by an investment, they use it as a cash advance to buy more car than they would absent financing … So now instead of buying a $20k car cash, people will buy a $40k car, increasing their debt load against a depreciating asset.
Yes, fools are foolish. A wise man makes educated predictions of the future. If his current total portfolio debt load can support financing a purchase, and if the rate to finance it is less than what he predicts his yield will be, then he’ll finance it.
> if that small spread from borrowing to buy a depreciating asset makes a significant difference to you
Hey, an extra 1% a year for the duration of one’s working life adds up quite significantly! The key is to carefully manage one’s expenses and balance sheet, maintaining a healthy debt ratio, only incurring debt when it makes sense, and refinancing or paying it down when that makes sense.
> Hey, an extra 1% a year for the duration of one’s working life adds up quite significantly!
I agree - but in this case, you’re not really netting an extra 1% per year forever… in that example, you’re saying you’d have a car payment for your entire working life! And a long period of buying depreciating assets I think is going to hurt a lot more in the long run than the 1% spread :)
That being said, I get that purchases are not always spreadsheet math. So maybe someone is willing to spend a little more over time to drive newer cars, and that’s up to them.
Now consider what would happen if you invested that $6,300 for 30 years instead of spent it on interest. You’re losing out on tens of thousands of dollars in total lifetime wealth.
When you borrow money to “enjoy life” it can quickly end up costing 2x what it would if you spent the money outright, even if you borrowed at low rates.