Re:Guess I'm a Rationalist Now
by notahacker on Thursday June 19, 2025 @04:22PM
(#44322209)
Yeah. It's not that they never express uncertainty so much as they like to express uncertainty as arbitrarily precise and convenient-looking expected value calculations which often look like far more of a rhetorical tool to justify their preferences (I've accounted for the uncertainty and even given a credence as low as 14.2% I'm still right!) than a decision making heuristic...
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