Re:The 'white-collar bloodbath' is all part of the AI hype m...
by munksbeer on Monday June 02, 2025 @04:47AM
(#44156869)
> It was predicted that scaling alone would allow them to reach AGI level.
This is a genuine attempt to inform myself. Could you think to those sort of claims from experts at the top?
Re:The 'white-collar bloodbath' is all part of the AI hype m...
by hn_throwaway_99 on Monday June 02, 2025 @12:50PM
(#44160737)
There were definitely people "at the top" who were essentially arguing that more scale would get you to AGI - Ilya Sutskever of OpenAI comes to mind (e.g. "next-token prediction is enough for AGI").
There were definitely many other prominent researchers who vehemently disagreed, e.g. Yann LeCun. But it's very hard for a layperson (or, for that matter, another expert) to determine who is or would be "right" in this situation - most of these people have strong personalities to put it mildly, and they often have vested interests in pushing their preferred approach and view of how AI does/should work.
This is an improvement for sure, but LLMs themselves are definitely hitting a wall. It was predicted that scaling alone would allow them to reach AGI level.