It's really funny to see someone say this technology, which seems to be plateauing with marginal improvements after a few years, is improving at a pace we have never seen before, in an industry that is built on the microprocessor. Astoundingly ignorant.

The marketing for it all has been something else. It's a technology that demos extremely well, and is surface level very impressive, and to those who wern't paying any attention to its evolution, appeared to come out of nowhere.

But this line of "its only going to get even better" is a mantra that's endlessly expounded on, a brain worm even. It's never backed up with any observable evidence. It's marketing that they're tricking people into repeating.

Correct. We've reached negative returns on increasing parameter counts. This is a dead end unless they figure out how to microtune models on ultra-specific niches.

there are hundreds of thousands of developers, lawyers, artists, musicians, etc who have transformed what they're doing with AI

The progress is fast, no doubt - but the hype sometimes skips over how messy the middle still is.