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Re:China Can Have It All – China is currently winner of Amer... by audunw on Saturday April 19, 2025 @08:23AM (#43735942)
I find it odd that, in very few of the articles that take a positive view on Chinas outlook in this trade war is it mentioned that China is knee deep in debt (when shadow debt is included) and very dependent on exports to avoid catastrophe.

It could still turn out well for China. It’s just that this risk should be mentioned. Otherwise it’s easy to believe that Chinas win here is inevitable.

Re:China Can Have It All – China is currently winner of Amer... by Tireings on Saturday April 19, 2025 @11:04AM (#43736894)
It has massive resources and exports to everyone around the globe.

USA is alienating everyone including Canada.

So who wins that game?

Re:China Can Have It All – China is currently winner of Amer... by greenie_beans on Saturday April 19, 2025 @09:30AM (#43736260)
if the goal of the trade war is to hurt china through their debt situation, then how would that not affect the entire global system? china default sounds bad
Re:China Can Have It All – China is currently winner of Amer... by nabla9 on Saturday April 19, 2025 @08:35AM (#43736001)
I don't think it's odd.

(1) Chinese debt is internal.

(2) China is still ideologically communist authoritarian nation with market economy.

They can fix thing by fiat. No need to think about legal issues or respect property right. They can give X% haircut for bad debt, or freeze debt payments for 5 years for debts they think are destabilizing the economy. They don't have to give same treatment to all debt.

Demographics is the problem for China in long term, not debt.

Re:China Can Have It All – China is currently winner of Amer... by rfoo on Saturday April 19, 2025 @10:52AM (#43736812)
Plus that they finally have someone else to blame, and it seems like people want to pretend it's all someone else's fault too. Probably don't even need to use their authoritarian cards.
Re:China Can Have It All – China is currently winner of Amer... by asplake on Saturday April 19, 2025 @01:20PM (#43737835)
Demographics is a problem for the US also, but the easiest solution, immigration, is no longer acceptable (if ever it was) to an increasingly vocal minority. To be fair to the US, that situation is shared by many other countries in the West, and I'm not sure that China is ready for that solution either.
Re:China Can Have It All – China is currently winner of Amer... by Jensson on Saturday April 19, 2025 @03:20PM (#43738730)
Illegal immigration is a bipartisan issue both democrat and republican voters want to kick them out, it isn't some vocal minority.

Billionaires wants them here, not poor people.

Re:China Can Have It All – China is currently winner of Amer... by ethbr1 on Saturday April 19, 2025 @08:48PM (#43740688)
> Billionaires wants them here, not poor people.

Given poor people are more dependent on welfare and social security (having no plan B, like wealthy folks do), they should be the ones most in favor of population (and therefore economic) growth.

Re:China Can Have It All – China is currently winner of Amer... by DontchaKnowit on Saturday April 19, 2025 @09:51PM (#43740965)
Except illegal immigrants arent paying into social security... so whats your point
Re:China Can Have It All – China is currently winner of Amer... by ethbr1 on Sunday April 20, 2025 @07:39PM (#43747358)
Illegal immigrants aren't getting social security either, but are paying into sales tax.

Which means they're doing their part to support 30% of state budgets, in addition to the businesses they're working for who are paying their own taxes.

Re:China Can Have It All – China is currently winner of Amer... by DontchaKnowit on Sunday April 20, 2025 @11:58PM (#43748400)
yeah but the parent commenter was specifically talking about social security, illegal immigrants aren't contributing to social security
Re:China Can Have It All – China is currently winner of Amer... by ethbr1 on Monday April 21, 2025 @02:51PM (#43755172)
That if the economy craters, because suddenly population growth isn't buttressed by immigration (legal or illegal), then both social security and welfare rapidly become unfundable, and the poor suffer more than billionaires.

Ergo, poor people should be in favor of any sort of immigration.

Re:China Can Have It All – China is currently winner of Amer... by marcosdumay on Saturday April 19, 2025 @12:30PM (#43737459)
> and very dependent on exports to avoid catastrophe

Domestic debt (in the country's own currency) behaves differently from foreign debt.

Domestic one is the kind that is actually never paid out, unless the government does something very stupid.

China has other kinds of problems, and the article has the same kind of simplistic mercantilist view of the world that journalists seem very adept to and that the current US government is applying. So, while there are stuff to be said about them, you won't get anything of value here.