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Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by rayiner on Friday March 28, 2025 @05:58PM (#43510255)
Tesla bought Solar City for $2.6 billion, and now it looks like the Tesla Energy division had about that much in net income last year alone.
Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by mdorazio on Friday March 28, 2025 @06:25PM (#43510475)
And how much of that is solar instead of Powerwall and Megapack? They don’t break it out in filings unless I missed it.
Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by bboygravity on Friday March 28, 2025 @06:41PM (#43510646)
Exactly. So then why draw conclusions about how SolarCity was a bad deal for shareholders (see parent comments)?

There's no substantiation of that either way.

Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by Dylan16807 on Friday March 28, 2025 @06:44PM (#43510678)
We know the batteries are a lot of revenue. The substantiation is not zero.
Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by glenstein on Friday March 28, 2025 @11:26PM (#43512466)
Exactly, and theres plenty of third party companies buying and installing these for customers and their economic activity testifies to the significant scale of the Tesla battery business.
Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by stefan_ on Friday March 28, 2025 @08:14PM (#43511403)
Because Tesla abandoned the SolarCity model? Like, SolarCity was a bunch of sales people going door-to-door to sell questionable leases on solar systems and hawking off the junk bonds resulting.
Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by joquarky on Friday March 28, 2025 @08:23PM (#43511467)
> questionable leases

I have a SolarCity install that came with the house.

The Power Purchase Agreement lease seemed shady at first, but ultimately I believe it's working out better for my family than for Tesla.

I'm paying just under 11 cents per kWh and it can only go up a maximum of 3% per year for the next ~15 years.

Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by ok_computer on Friday March 28, 2025 @09:17PM (#43511821)
I’m curious what the cumulative operating cost / financial repayment plan is relative to the capital installation cost. Funny enough if it is advantageous to you vs solar city that is one more argument in favor of them running a poor business model.
Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by AnthonyMouse on Saturday March 29, 2025 @03:52AM (#43513628)
The general model has some intrinsic advantages. If you want to build out solar generation you normally have to buy land (expensive), but this way the customer is giving you space on their roof "for free". Then the price per kWh the customer pays to the power company includes a transmission cost, but the power is being consumed on site so you don't have to pay that.

The result is that solar generally has a generation cost of ~$0.04/kWh (which includes the cost of the land) but meanwhile you have customers happy to be paying $0.11/kWh. The trade off is the one-time cost of installing it on individual roofs is more labor intensive than doing a large-scale installation in a field somewhere, but that just means it's competitive rather than having a massive advantage.

Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by timewizard on Friday March 28, 2025 @08:10PM (#43511354)
The burden of proof is on the publicly traded company. That they don't make this information clear and obvious speaks volumes.
Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by gwern on Friday March 28, 2025 @09:15PM (#43511802)
> Exactly. So then why draw conclusions about how SolarCity was a bad deal for shareholders (see parent comments)?

You can absolutely draw adverse inferences from Tesla's refusal to report certain straightforward, useful numbers. For example, their refusal to publish any real safety statistics, to the point where Elon Musk himself has to invoke rubbish numbers like the 'community tracker'.

If, after all the lawsuits and accusations of failure, and the reporting about the near-zero deliveries and idled factories, the Tesla Energy division is giving you no numbers on the solar roof, and is lumping them together with a totally different product like batteries, there is one thing and only one thing that that means: the numbers are awful.

Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by glenstein on Friday March 28, 2025 @11:24PM (#43512455)
>There's no substantiation of that either way.

I don't think that's the true at all. There's a vast and visible footprint we can see with batteries (pretty sure every major solar company in the U.S. that has a battery storage option does at least some Tesla) that has no equivalent with solar rooftops. The former are ubiquitous while the latter are so far as I can tell almost entirely non existent.

And if that's too light on data I'll put it this way, I'm reasonably confident I can find 10 solar companies that install Tesla batteries for every one that does Solar City roofs.

Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by camhart on Friday March 28, 2025 @10:13PM (#43512129)
How many solar city customers have added powerwall/megapack...?

Even if its low for solar, it doesn't mean it was a bad deal. He acquired existing customers he could sell other products to.

Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by FreeRadical on Friday March 28, 2025 @06:19PM (#43510428)
Tesla Energy existed before Tesla acquired Solar City
Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by Alive-in-2025 on Friday March 28, 2025 @07:56PM (#43511198)
So what, Tesla energy is a separate division? Tesla solar products are basically dying in the solar roof failed. It's a great idea, who wouldn't want to buy it if it lasted and was practical.
Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by refulgentis on Friday March 28, 2025 @06:21PM (#43510453)
Solar City was a debacle, it died immediately. Tesla's story in court was they were about to go bankrupt, and it was a financial necessity to redeploy all Solar City assets, including all employees, to Model 3 production.

It breaks my heart because my rust belt hometown got a substantial investment from the state they had been chasing for a couple decades.

$700M of the Buffalo Billion went to a Solar City facility, Elon even said they were going to build the solar roofs there!

New York State didn't dare pick a fight with him as the factory set empty for years.

Full story via Bethany McLean, 2019:

https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2019/08/how-elon-musk-gamble...

Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by foobarqux on Friday March 28, 2025 @06:21PM (#43510454)
Putting aside the fact that you can't justify fraud by post-hoc outcomes (Shkreli and SBF also claimed that they didn't commit fraud because they would or did win it back), I doubt any of the Tesla Energy division income (even assuming the accounting is okay) is a result of businesses that can be traced back to Solar City.

I suspect most of the business is battery storage and the Powerwall was introduced by Tesla before the acquisition.

Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by enslavedrobot on Friday March 28, 2025 @06:34PM (#43510575)
The vertically integrated Tesla strategy is to use batteries to arbitrage the value of stored energy. This is well described in the Tesla "Master Plan" documents. Solar is a huge part of this.

According to the company filings the solar assets Tesla acquired are still generating revenue at the rates projected during the acquisition.

Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by foobarqux on Friday March 28, 2025 @06:40PM (#43510636)
Well I trust Elon's statements (even the financial statements) as far as I can throw them but can you point out where it says that? I'm searching the 10-K and I don't see solar broken out.

But even if it's true I assume they are including their utility-scale solar and battery packs, which has nothing to do with Solar City: the panels are generic, the customer lists are not residential, they don't use the fancy shingles. Solar City did not help them in any way with these getting or fulfilling these contracts.

Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by Zigurd on Friday March 28, 2025 @09:02PM (#43511738)
None of that is solar roofs. That product never worked. It's nearly all batteries. The Solar City was worthless and it hasn't improved.
Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by grandempire on Friday March 28, 2025 @11:09PM (#43512373)
How do you know which assets and people were useful on which projects?
Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by skinnymuch on Saturday March 29, 2025 @03:55AM (#43513648)
How does grand parent know solar city is responsible for the net income?
Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by grandempire on Saturday March 29, 2025 @03:31PM (#43517956)
That wasn’t the claim. They just speculated that acquiring one solar company helped in their other solar ventures, which seems like a good default assumption.

If you have evidence that’s not the case, that would be interesting to share.

Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by refulgentis on Saturday March 29, 2025 @03:37PM (#43518009)
I wrote a comment 2 hours before the initial comment in this subthread that explains Tesla held in court that Solar City ended up contributing nothing because it needed to be liquidated immediately lest Tesla go bankrupt. https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2019/08/how-elon-musk-gamble...

For what it's worth, I don't even know what the inverse position would be, SolarCity was a solar panel maker, and famously, the idea after they realized they couldn't come close to China's prices, was solar roof tiles. They would be a major breakthrough project that would make Solar City a breakout financial hit.

Do people think Tesla makes solar panels? Solar roofs?

I don't blame them, I guess, this carnival has been going on for years.

I'm somewhat surprised how dedicated you are to avoiding information and asking for someone, anyone, to give info. It's been 18 hours and 3 replies on your end, albeit without people taking the time to spell it out to you like this. Personally, I would have looked into it a bit myself.

Re:xAI has acquired X, xAI now valued at $80B by grandempire on Saturday March 29, 2025 @04:32PM (#43518474)
Im not interested in replies from someone who has alerts turned on for this topics.

> It's been 18 hours and 3 replies on your end

You appear nowhere in comments I replied to. Is this your alt account?