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A comment on An election forecast that's 50-50 is not "giving up.". Parent comment

Re:An election forecast that's 50-50 is not "giving up." by bombcar on Monday March 10, 2025 @05:45PM (#43326448)
If they're not completely independent variables, that should be the expected outcome (e.g., they all trend the same direction).

And if they're not that close, they're not battleground.

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Re:An election forecast that's 50-50 is not "giving up." by fullshark on Monday March 10, 2025 @06:03PM (#43326618)
They are where the campaign money and attention is going, what about battleground implies independence? Whoever wins them will win the election.
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