I feel like 50/50 chance of his or your comment aging poorly.

I feel there's a high probability your comment doesn't mean what you think it does (unless you truly believe both outcomes are as likely).

Not sure how else could I have meant that.

It seemed like you intended to present your comment as a tautology (e.g. "I feel there's a 100% chance of his or your comment aging poorly"), but I'll give you the benefit of the doubt!

Yeah, that's a good point. I just think it can go either way. I remember in 2015 how hyped we were around self-driving cars and thought "in 10 years there will be majority of cars like that". Right now we may see steady increase in capabilities of AI for years to come, or we may see it plateauing.

Cool. Invest in it then. That way you get paid instead of saying "I told you so" to some screen name.