Re:OpenAI says it has evidence China's DeepSeek used its mod...
by imjonse on Thursday January 30, 2025 @01:16AM
(#42875394)
if there is so much value for a small group, it is likely those are not simple inferences but of the new expensive kind with very long CoT chains and reasoning. So not cheap and it is exactly this trend towards inference time compute that make inference > training from a total resources needed pov.
I think you're making assumptions here that don't necessarily have to be universally true for all successful models. Even without getting into particularly pathological cases, some models can be successful and profitable while only having a few customers. If you build a model that is very valuable to investment banks, to professional basketball teams, or some other much more limited group than consumers writ large, you might get paid handsomely for a limited amount of inference but still spend a lot on training.