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Re:CIA Now Favors Lab Leak Theory to Explain Covid's Origins by labster on Saturday January 25, 2025 @07:33PM (#42826491)
You just set an arbitrary bar that that is higher for the lab leak based on an “everybody knows” argument. That’s not science, it’s faith.
Re:CIA Now Favors Lab Leak Theory to Explain Covid's Origins by strangecasts on Sunday January 26, 2025 @04:13AM (#42828906)
Prior probability estimates are not part of science?
Re:CIA Now Favors Lab Leak Theory to Explain Covid's Origins by labster on Sunday January 26, 2025 @07:44PM (#42836014)
Prior probability estimates of p = 0.083 are not extraordinary. As the sibling says one out of twelve past pandemics was a known lab leak.
Re:CIA Now Favors Lab Leak Theory to Explain Covid's Origins by strangecasts on Monday January 27, 2025 @11:51AM (#42843066)
Okay, but your objection was requiring more evidence for the less likely assertion constituted an "arbitrary bar", you cannot argue that and quote _an arbitrary estimate by another commenter_