We barely survived one nuclear arms race, and this could give every nation state a new type of power weapon every 5ish years through the inevitable scaling in energy and weapons. I agree we're on one of the worst timelines for AI/AGI/ASI with the world actively being run into the ground by short sighted 'dementia-ocracies' and every security risk about to increase dramatically.
I think there’s a less than 5% chance that this goes well, and that’s only if we get a series of things to go extremely well. And frankly, we’re tracking along the extremely bad path so far.