Re:More Men Are Addicted to the 'Crack Cocaine' of the Stock...
by snowwrestler on Wednesday December 25, 2024 @10:28AM
(#42509238)
It’s impossible to keep prices perfectly steady, the Fed could not possibly be that precise. If they tried, we would bounce back and forth between inflation and deflation, which would be incredibly destabilizing to long-term investment… and therefore destabilizing to job growth and capital improvement, innovation, etc.
So instead the Fed aims for a small amount of inflation. That way when they miss a bit, we still stay out of deflation. It is much better to bounce between 2% and 3% than between -1% and 1%.
If the goal was actually to inflate the debt away, they would be aiming higher. Proof: the debt has been growing in real terms, not shrinking.
Re:More Men Are Addicted to the 'Crack Cocaine' of the Stock...
by rrrrrrrrrrrryan on Wednesday December 25, 2024 @01:06PM
(#42510114)
The Fed has stated that one benefit of a small amount of inflation is that it provides employers with a mechanism to effectively revise wages downward without employees quitting (by denying them an annual raise), but yes - they have never stated that they are trying to inflate the debt away.
Re:More Men Are Addicted to the 'Crack Cocaine' of the Stock...
by nr378 on Wednesday December 25, 2024 @01:01PM
(#42510075)
The Federal Reserve targeting "price stability" literally does mean that they target prices increasing exponentially by an average of 2% per year[1]. The mathematical form is P(t) = P₀(1.02)ᵗ, where P₀ is the initial price level and t is time in years.
[1] https://www.federalreserve.gov/economy-at-a-glance-inflation...
And I'd imagine the stock market is still fairly confident that rates are going back down. If we look at a chart of fed interest rates [0] the statistical evidence suggests we're going to see low rates in the near future. It'd be nice to buck the trend and have the US stay focused on prosperity but there isn't much evidence of it yet. The basic plan of high debt then inflating the debt away hasn't changed.
[0] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/fedfunds