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Re:Show HN: I built an AI tool to analyze SEC filings the mi... by toomuchtodo on Tuesday December 03, 2024 @02:39PM (#42310333)
How confident are you in wiring this up to trade immediately off of the output?
Re:Show HN: I built an AI tool to analyze SEC filings the mi... by docdeltaneer on Tuesday December 03, 2024 @03:25PM (#42310898)
Having tested this extensively against historical market movements, I'm quite confident in its analysis accuracy. After running it against countless filings and tracking post-filing price movements, the system's risk assessments and change detection have proven remarkably reliable - especially for catching subtle shifts in risk factors and management tone that often precede larger market moves.

I personally rely on it for my own decisions, but like any tool, it's most effective when used as part of a broader analysis process. The system is great at rapidly surfacing the most significant changes in these massive documents and contextualizing them against historical patterns. That's incredibly valuable for making timely decisions, especially since the market often takes days or weeks to fully price in the implications of complex filing changes.

That said, the analysis code has built in multiple validation layers and error handling because filings are just one piece of the market puzzle. The code is designed to be conservative - it'll fail closed rather than make questionable assertions. But for what it's designed to do - deep analysis of filing changes and their implications - it's proven to be a reliable tool for actual decision-making.

Re:Show HN: I built an AI tool to analyze SEC filings the mi... by mistrial9 on Tuesday December 03, 2024 @04:23PM (#42311637)
> The system is great at rapidly surfacing the most significant changes in these massive documents and contextualizing them against historical patterns.

probably worth capturing a few successful situations and documenting that in some marketing way.. also probably worth capturing a few Very Big Fails and making a ticket out of that internally, to improve the system. Seize the day!

Re:Show HN: I built an AI tool to analyze SEC filings the mi... by ezero on Tuesday December 03, 2024 @04:32PM (#42311754)
> Having tested this extensively against historical market movements, I'm quite confident in its analysis accuracy.

This doesn't say anything. Exactly how much have you tested and what were the results?

Re:Show HN: I built an AI tool to analyze SEC filings the mi... by cortesoft on Tuesday December 03, 2024 @04:27PM (#42311698)
Most releases happen after trading hours
Re:Show HN: I built an AI tool to analyze SEC filings the mi... by toomuchtodo on Tuesday December 03, 2024 @04:34PM (#42311771)
Agreed, my focus is on data released during trading hours, intentionally or inadvertently.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ag14Ao_xO4c

EDIT: To those suggesting extended hours trading, check out what the order book looks like and who the market maker is.

https://www.finra.org/investors/insights/extended-hours-trad...

Re:Show HN: I built an AI tool to analyze SEC filings the mi... by ryeights on Tuesday December 03, 2024 @04:34PM (#42311780)
Yes, but you can still trade pre-market and after-hours.
Re:Show HN: I built an AI tool to analyze SEC filings the mi... by ssijak on Tuesday December 03, 2024 @04:34PM (#42311784)
you can trade post hours