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Re:ICC issues warrants of arrest for Benjamin Netanyahu and ... by ceejayoz on Thursday November 21, 2024 @03:42PM (#42208435)
It's not entirely speculation; South Africa certainly wanted to avoid it.

https://www.reuters.com/article/world/south-africa-asks-icc-...

> South African President Cyril Ramaphosa has asked permission from the International Criminal Court not to arrest Russia's Vladimir Putin, because to do so would amount to a declaration of war, a local court submission published on Tuesday showed.

Brazil waffled, too.

https://www.reuters.com/world/up-brazils-judiciary-decide-pu...

> On Saturday, while in India for a Group of 20 nations meeting, Lula told a local interviewer that there was "no way" Putin would be arrested if he attended next year's summit, which is due to be held in Rio de Janeiro.

Re:ICC issues warrants of arrest for Benjamin Netanyahu and ... by aguaviva on Thursday November 21, 2024 @08:28PM (#42210365)
74 countries across the two regions, last we checked.

You've got 72 to go.

Re:ICC issues warrants of arrest for Benjamin Netanyahu and ... by ceejayoz on Thursday November 21, 2024 @10:30PM (#42210894)
Only one - Chile - has affirmatively stated they’d execute the warrant.

Small countries try not to piss off large nuclear powers with a history of polonium use.

Re:ICC issues warrants of arrest for Benjamin Netanyahu and ... by aguaviva on Thursday November 21, 2024 @10:57PM (#42211049)
So it's not "No countries in Latin America", then.

And if we're going to use your dataset to extrapolate anything: probably half of them will enforce the warrant.

Re:ICC issues warrants of arrest for Benjamin Netanyahu and ... by ceejayoz on Friday November 22, 2024 @09:50AM (#42214262)
> And if we're going to use your dataset to extrapolate anything: probably half of them will enforce the warrant.

Even Chile's stated willingness is probably a bit like "if I were a billionaire I'd do <great things>" - easy to say when it's not an actual decision ready to be made.

I like being pedantic as much as the next person, but "small developing countries don't love pissing off big angry ones with nukes" isn't the outrageous conclusion you're portraying it as.

Re:ICC issues warrants of arrest for Benjamin Netanyahu and ... by aguaviva on Friday November 22, 2024 @10:42AM (#42214694)
Except I'm not making that portrayal.