I only meant to point out that things might not go as expected, despite how emotionally impactful it might seem in the moment.

Yes. Similarly, I’m pointing out that despite your expectations, your comment comes off as you being a jerk.

Of course people forget things, but as the other commenter mentioned, I think you are bringing unnecessary logic to what is an emotional subject and response. Which as they say, makes you come across as a jerk while bringing no value to the conversation.