There's a reason Microsoft just outright purchased the entire output of 3-mile island (a full sized nuclear power plant).
At some point, people will stop buying GPUs because we've simply run out of power.
My only hope is that we don't suffer some kind of ill effect (ex: double the cost of consumer electricity or something, or local municipalities going bankrupt due to rising energy costs). The AI boom has so much money in it we need to account for tail wags dog effects.
More importantly, Cisco's margins and PE were much higher than Nvidia's today.
You should use actual financial measures and not GDP national accounts which have zero bearing on business valuation.
There's a relation between P/E and future actual revenues of a company.
Imagine that a similar comparison would imply that it's projected that in a few years NVidia's revenues shall represent 10% of the US's GDP: do we really believe that's going to happen?
The Mag 7 + Broadcom have a market cap that is now 60% of the US's GDP. I know you think it's silly but... Doesn't that say something about the expect revenues of these companies in a few years?
Do we really think the Mag 7 + Broadcom (just an example) are really to represent the % of the actual US's GDP that that implies?
Just to be clear: I'm not saying it implies the percentage of the US GDP of these 8 companies alone is going to be 60% but there is a relation between the P/E of a company and its expected revenues. And revenues of companies do participate in the GDP computation.
I don't think it's as silly as several here think.
I also don't think GP should be downvoted: if we disagree, we can discuss it.
1996 - Cisco was 23.4B or 0.3% of US GDP
2000 - Cisco peaked at 536B or 5.2% of US GDP
2020 - Nvidia was 144B or 0.7% of US GDP
2024 - Nvidia is 3.4T or 11.9% of US GDP
Numbers very rough and from different sources, but I'd be surprised if Nvidia doesn't pop within 1-2 years at most.