Re:Terence Tao on AI as a monopoly held by one or two companies
by ithkuil on Tuesday October 15, 2024 @03:59PM
(#41852509)
Not all numbers come out equally as likely. Round numbers are more likely to be picked by humans (or at least that's the argument)
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Re:Terence Tao on AI as a monopoly held by one or two companies
by raincole on Tuesday October 15, 2024 @05:15PM
(#41853212)
That's why I said we need to know:
> 2. Assuming it's rigged, how likely it's rigged in a way that the percentage is precisely XX.X%
But I didn't realize he wrote a blog post about it. He actually addressed everything I listed (and more) in detail:
https://terrytao.wordpress.com/2024/08/02/what-are-the-odds-...
TL;DR: Yes, we need to know all these priori probabilities to get the exact answer. He made an assumption about them.