How much less likely do you think someone with high self control is to not be obese?

12%. Which shows that your intuitions about obesity and the causes are probably wrong.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3717171/

Someone with high self control that wants to be non-obese, has a nearly 100% chance of accomplishing that goal. Literally by definition.

Lacking the ability to do something is, typically, not a choice.

You don't need any 'ability' to not stuff donuts in your hole.

Blaming victims and being ignorant is a choice, one you made multiple times in this thread.

> they lack the ability (...) but that is still a choice.

Typo?

False. (All) People crave for food. Some people have stronger craving than others. In healthy people you call it "hunger". In obese people it is more like an addiction. Do you know people can be addictes to sex and to work, too?

If you insist on the choice argument, the only way an addict can stop consuming is locking himself in a room and throwing away the key. Other than that, much help is needed, many changes are needed, and even chemicals are needed.

"Choice" is victim blaming

All you're saying is the it's harder to make some choices depending on situation. They are still 100% choices. Choices don't have to be trivially easy.

Hot take: "choice" is a myth when it comes to long-term executive processing, one doesn't choose to be obese/not, drug addicted/not, etc, the same way one chooses whether they want chicken or beef ramen for lunch. It's an unending grind of executive functioning against more basal impulses, that is heavily influenced by the blend of nature and nurture and life events.

being a hard determinist is not exactly a hot take…