Do not assume constant demand. There are whole classes of projects which become feasible if they cash be made 10x faster/cheaper.
As for maintaining sanity… I’m cautiously optimistic that future models will continue to get better. Very cautiously. But cursor with Claude slaps and I’m not getting crazy, I actually enjoy the thing figuring out my next actions and just suggesting them.
Second, just because a good engineer can have much higher throughput of work, multiplied by AI tools, we know the AI output is not reliable and needs a second look by humans. Will those 5% be able to stay on top of it? And keep their sanity at the same time?