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Re:Ask HN: Do you already see the impact of LLMs on the job ... by ballresin on Wednesday July 17, 2024 @07:26AM (#40984706)
> realistic 10-20% overall productivity boost

With productivity being measured as what, exactly?

The Venn diagram of "discussions about LLMs" and "Idea Guys Talking" is close to a circle in my experience.

Re:Ask HN: Do you already see the impact of LLMs on the job ... by tcgv on Wednesday July 17, 2024 @07:39AM (#40984761)
> With productivity being measured as what, exactly?

Most likely relative productivity, i.e. time to develop things with support of AI Vs time to develop the same things without support of AI.

Re:Ask HN: Do you already see the impact of LLMs on the job ... by ceejayoz on Wednesday July 17, 2024 @08:03AM (#40984928)
Which will potentially miss things like accruing technical debt and security issues.
Re:Ask HN: Do you already see the impact of LLMs on the job ... by ziggyzecat on Wednesday July 17, 2024 @08:21AM (#40985067)
which happens with and without AI to the extent of effort and state of brains of the junior dev
Re:Ask HN: Do you already see the impact of LLMs on the job ... by animal531 on Wednesday July 17, 2024 @01:56PM (#40988522)
I find myself using it for quick math type problems, for example just now I wanted to wrangle some bits so I asked it to make the masks for me.

But even then we're talking 1% if we're being really generous.

Re:Ask HN: Do you already see the impact of LLMs on the job ... by Jensson on Wednesday July 17, 2024 @03:32PM (#40989466)
> for example just now I wanted to wrangle some bits so I asked it to make the masks for me.

Why do you think it will get that right? You have to do the work anyway to verify those are correct, that is exactly the kind of thing you shouldn't use an LLM for.