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Re:Safe Superintelligence Inc. by MacsHeadroom on Wednesday June 19, 2024 @02:05PM (#40730813)
51% odds of the ARC AGI Grand Prize being claimed by the end of next year, on Manifold Markets.

https://manifold.markets/JacobPfau/will-the-arcagi-grand-pri...

Re:Safe Superintelligence Inc. by fastball on Wednesday June 19, 2024 @07:28PM (#40733460)
This could also just be an indication (and I think this is the case) that many Manifold betters believe the ARC AGI Grand Prize to be not a great test of AGI and that it can be solved with something less capable than AGI.