Re:Super Heavy has splashed down in The Gulf of Mexico
by FredPret on Friday June 07, 2024 @03:18PM
(#40611949)
I’m claiming a direct causality between how terrible the nukes were and how peaceful the subsequent decades have been.
The cold war was cold because of M.A.D.
And I will compare any periods I want. The nukes fell in 1945, so I compare all of human history before that and after that. There’s a clear and massive decline even if you only look at pre-1914 rates.
Re:Super Heavy has splashed down in The Gulf of Mexico
by pdonis on Friday June 07, 2024 @04:24PM
(#40612604)
> I’m claiming a direct causality
You are inferring direct causality based on one event following another. That is the logical fallacy I referred to.
> There’s a clear and massive decline even if you only look at pre-1914 rates.
That's not what I see, so I guess we'll just have to disagree.
Post hoc ergo propter hoc is a well known logical fallacy. That is what you are doing here.
Also, the relevant comparison, as I said before, is not post-1945 vs. pre-1945. It is something like post-1945 vs. pre-1914, so that the comparison involves peacetime conditions on both sides.